Is It Getting More Affordable To Buy a Home?
Over the past year or so, a lot of people have been talking about how tough it is to buy a home. And while there’s no arguing affordability is still tight, there are signs it’s starting to get a bit better and may improve even more throughout the year. Elijah de la Campa, Senior Economist at Redfin, says: “We’re slowly climbing our way out of an affordability hole, but we have a long way to go. Rates have come down from their peak and are expected to fall again by the end of the year, which should make homebuying a little more affordable and incentivize buyers to come off the sidelines.” Here’s a look at the latest data for the three biggest factors that affect home affordability: mortgage rates, home prices, and wages. 1. Mortgage RatesMortgage rates have been volatile this year – bouncing around in the upper 6% to low 7% range. That’s still quite a bit higher than where they were a couple of years ago. But there is a sliver of good news. Despite the recent volatility, rates are still lower than they were last fall when they reached nearly 8%. On top of that, most experts still think they’ll come down some over the course of the year. A recent article from Bright MLS explains: “Expect rates to come down in the second half of 2024 but remain above 6% this year. Even a modest drop in rates will bring both more buyers and more sellers into the market.” Any drop in rates can make a difference for you. When rates go down, you can afford the home you really want more easily because your monthly payment would be lower. 2. Home PricesThe second big factor to think about is home prices. Most experts project they’ll keep going up this year, but at a more normal pace. That’s because there are more homes on the market this year, but still not enough for everyone who wants to buy one. The graph below shows the latest 2024 home price forecasts from seven different organizations: These forecasts are actually good news for you because it means the prices aren’t likely to shoot up sky high like they did during the pandemic. That doesn’t mean they’re going to fall – they’ll just rise at a slower pace.3. WagesOne factor helping affordability right now is the fact that wages are rising. The graph below uses data from the Federal Reserve to show how wages have been growing over time: Check out the blue dotted line. That shows how wages typically rise. If you look at the right side of the graph, you’ll see wages are climbing even faster than normal right now. Here’s how this helps you. If your income has increased, it’s easier to afford a home because you don’t have to spend as big of a percentage of your paycheck on your monthly mortgage payment.Bottom LineIf you stack these factors up, you’ll see mortgage rates are still projected to come down a bit later this year, home prices are going up at a more moderate pace, and wages are growing quicker than normal. Those trends are a good sign for your ability to afford a home. Connect with me through https://linktr.ee/brianeastwoodrealtor for more information! 🙌
How to Avoid Capital Gains Tax on a Home Sale
By Jeffrey Steele When your home value goes through the roof, you may end up with capital gains when you sell. Here are tips to limit tax liability. Most homeowners aim for a substantial increase in home value – and many are achieving it when they sell their primary home. But that increase can come with a thorny issue: capital gains tax when they file their tax returns after selling. If you’re in that situation or anticipating it, you can take advantage of a number of strategies to pay lower capital gains tax on real estate. Understanding the Capital Gains ProblemMany homeowners who purchased their homes long ago have seen huge gains in the value of their residences. When they ultimately sell their houses, the gain may extend beyond the federal tax law’s maximum exclusion amounts on capital gains of $250,000 for single filers and $500,000 for married couples. That can leave the sellers on the hook for a large capital gains tax on the sale. “The problem is that in 1997, when the maximum exclusion levels were added to the tax code, they were not indexed to inflation,” says Evan Liddiard, CPA, director of federal tax policy for the National Association of REALTORS®. So, the amounts we see today are still the same as they were in 1997, when these were big numbers and virtually no one went over them. Today, because of inflation, a $250,000 or $500,000 gains of much more than $250,000 or $500,000 are not uncommon, so many people go over, especially in higher-priced markets.” Take the Tests to See if You Qualify for ExclusionsTo qualify for the exclusions, you must satisfy tests that you’ve lived in your house for at least two of the last five years and have owned it for at least two of the last five years, says Jack McGuff IV, owner of McGuff Financial, based in Pearland, Texas. If you don’t meet these requirements and haven’t yet sold your home, you might consider delaying a home sale until you’ve satisfied the necessary use and ownership tests, he adds. If you rented out your primary residence for a period before a sale, however, you may lose a portion or all of the exclusion, McGuff continues. That’s because the property would be considered a rental property for tax purposes. How Cost Basis Factors into Capital Gains TaxYou can think of cost basis in real estate as the total cost of buying the property. Consider it as a baseline, says Quicken Loans: When you sell the property, the cost basis is subtracted from the net sales price to determine capital gains tax liability. That’s why you should document the cost basis of your home over time. To calculate the cost basis of their homes, owners typically start with the purchase price. The cost basis rarely stays the same over time, and once it’s changed, it becomes the adjusted basis. Several factors can increase or decrease the adjusted basis, says McGuff. Increases in adjusted basis can result from:1.The cost of additions and improvements to the house2. Money spent to restore the property after damages or loss3. Legal fees incurred in relation to the property Decreases in adjusted basis can result from: 1. Receipt of insurance payments due to a casualty loss or theft2. Tax credits for home energy improvementsIf you sold your primary home last year, there’s little you can do to avoid capital gains tax liability when you file taxes this April, Liddiard says. “If [a homeowner] sold their house and had a gain over the exclusion amount, they’re going to pay taxes. If they have some capital losses pending, these might offset the gains if they took the losses in the same year. But most people are not walking around with huge unrealized capital losses.” Capital Gains Tax Strategies for Those Planning to Sell in 2024If you’re planning to sell your home in 2024 and believe you may have a large enough gain to trigger a capital gains liability, you can consider these three strategies: Tax Loss HarvestingThis involves the sale of securities at a loss to offset capital gains taxes owed on profits, says Paul Miller, CPA, founder of Miller & Company, an accounting firm based in Queens, N.Y. “Of course, any harvested losses from previous years that have not been offset by gains will be applied against the current year gain,” McGuff says. “This highlights the importance of regular tax-loss harvesting in your after-tax nonretirement investment accounts throughout the year.” Contribution to a Traditional IRAAnother option would be to contribute to a traditional IRA to reduce taxable income, subject to contribution limits and deductibility phaseouts, says McGuff. “If an individual is part of a high-deductible health care plan, making a contribution into their health savings account would also reduce taxable income.” Donation to a Qualified Charitable OrganizationCharitably inclined individuals might consider donating cash or appreciated property to a qualified charitable organization, potentially providing a tax deduction to help offset that tax year’s taxable income. Deductibility depends on the type of charity and is also subject to a percentage of the taxpayer’s adjusted gross income. “Any unused charitable contributions can be carried forward for five years,” McGuff says. “Unfortunately, many taxpayers are forced to bite the bullet if they have not utilized any of these strategies in a timely fashion.” Consider Tax Changes for 2024 Tax YearIf you’re planning to sell your home, consider tax changes initiated for tax year 2024, McGuff says. For example, the Qualified Charitable Distribution cap has been indexed for inflation and now stands at $105,000. This change permits owners of IRAs who are 70 and a half or older to transfer up to $105,000 in 2024 from their IRAs directly to a qualified charity and avoid income tax on those amounts. “These amounts will count toward the required minimum distribution for the respective tax year,” McGuff says. In addition, the elective deferral limit for 401(k), 403(b), 457(b), and Roth 401(k) plans now stands at $23,000, with a catch-up contribution of $7,500 permitted for those 50 and older. IRA contribution limits have increased from $6,500 to $7,000 for 2024 with a $1,000 catch-up contribution for those 50 and older. Deductible contribution limits to health savings accounts have also increased from $3,850 to $4,150 for singles, and from $7,750 to $8,300 for families. HSA holders 55 and older can contribute an extra $1,000 to their HSAs. Also in 2024, the IRS increased the standard deduction by $1,500, to $29,200, for married couples filing jointly, plus $1,550 for each spouse 65 and older. The standard deduction is now $14,600 for single filers and $16,550 for singles 65 and older, McGuff says. Liddiard explains that NAR and other stakeholders are supporting raising the maximum exclusion levels by backing the More Homes on the Market Act, introduced in the House in September 2022. The bill would double the tax exclusion on the gain from sale of a principal residence and require future annual inflation adjustments to the amount. “It’s an uphill battle to get that passed, because the problem is not as serious in all parts of the country,” he says. For now, if you’ve experienced a significant increase in the value of your primary home and plan on selling, develop a capital gains strategy as soon as possible before selling your home. And be sure to track changes in your adjusted cost basis. Depending on the amount involved, you might also consider hiring a tax advisor.Bottom Line:If you’re looking to buy a home, let’s connect so you have someone keeping you up-to-date on mortgage rates and helping you make the best decision possible. Reach me at https://linktr.ee/brianeastwoodrealtor. It can be overwhelming, but I’m here to help.
What’s the Latest with Mortgage Rates?
Recent headlines may leave you wondering what’s next for mortgage rates. Maybe you’d previously heard there were going to be cuts this year that would bring rates down. That refers to the Federal Reserve (the Fed) and what they do to their Fed Funds Rate. While cutting, or lowering, the Fed Funds Rate doesn’t directly determine mortgage rates, it does tend to impact them. But when the Fed met last week, a cut didn’t happen — at least, not yet. There are a lot of factors the Fed considered in their recent decision and most of them are complex. But you don’t need to be bogged down by those finer details. What you really want is the answer to this question: does that mean mortgage rates aren’t going to fall? Here’s what you need to know. Mortgage Rates Are Still Expected To Drop This YearWhile it hasn’t happened yet, that doesn’t mean it won’t. Even Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Fed, says they still plan to make cuts this year, assuming inflation cools: “We believe that our policy rate is likely at its peak for this tightening cycle and that, if the economy evolves broadly as expected, it will likely be appropriate to begin dialing back policy restraint at some point this year.” When this happens, history shows mortgage rates will likely follow. That means hope isn’t lost. As a recent article from Business Insider explains: “As inflation comes down and the Fed is able to start lowering rates, mortgage rates should go down, too. . .” What This Means for YouBut you don’t necessarily want to wait for it to happen. Mortgage rates are notoriously hard to forecast. There are so many factors at play and any one of those can change the projections as the economy shifts. And it’s why the experts offer this advice. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says: “Well, mortgage rate projections are just that, projections, not promises and don’t forget how hard it is to forecast them. . . So my advice is to never try to time the market . . . If one is financially prepared and buying a home aligns with your lifestyle goals, then it could be the right time to purchase. And there’s always the refinance option if mortgage rates are lower in the future.” Basically, if you’re looking to move and trying to time the market, don’t. If you’re ready, willing, and able to move, it may still be worth it to do it now, especially if you can find the home you’ve been searching for.Bottom LineIf you’re looking to buy a home, let’s connect so you have someone keeping you up-to-date on mortgage rates and helping you make the best decision possible. Reach me at https://linktr.ee/brianeastwoodrealtor. It can be overwhelming, but I’m here to help.
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